Cognitive Biases
How our brains trick us into bad decisions. We explore systematic errors in human thinking that affect entire societies, examining how cognitive shortcuts and mental blind spots shape beliefs, judgements, and collective behaviour in ways most people never realise.
The Compromised Witness – Re-evaluating the Yuba County Five
A single, shifting account steered the Yuba County Five narrative. This piece tests that testimony against the physical record, explains the official handling errors, and sets out what documents and tests are still needed.
The Fermi Paradox – How a Misunderstanding Killed the Search for Aliens
The Fermi Paradox rests on a faulty premise. Our investigation shows how a lunchtime chat was twisted into a 'paradox' that twice shut down NASA's search for extraterrestrial intelligence. It is not a story about a silent universe, it's a story about a failure of logic.
The Sustained Attention Paradox – The Vigilance Trap
For 75 years, we've known human attention fails after 30 minutes. Yet industries demand hours of perfect vigilance, then blame 'human error' when people inevitably miss critical signals.
The Credibility Paradox – Who Decides What’s True?
A respected doctor's fraud destroys vaccine trust. Anonymous sources expose presidential cover-ups. We investigated why our credibility filters fail catastrophically, who really decides what's true, and why it's about to get much worse.
The Probability Sense – Does the Brain Compute Probabilities?
Psychophysics shows neat successes in cue combination and movement control. Behavioural records also show base-rate neglect and step-hold updates. We map the contradiction and set out tests that could link beliefs to neural mechanisms without stretching a modelling language.
The Expertise Trap – Why Confident Error Beats Cautious Expertise
Our investigation into the Expertise Trap examines why those who know the least often sound the most certain, while genuine experts hedge their words. We trace the psychological roots of this paradox and its high-stakes consequences in the real world.